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Sergey Savastiouk's Avatar
published in Blogs
Sep 27, 2019

Progress Software's (PRGS, $38.28) Q3 revenue misses estimates

Shares of Progress Software shares declined Friday, after the company reported revenue that fell short of estimates.

The business applications maker’s third-quarter adjusted earnings came in at 75 cents, higher than  the year-ago quarter's 55 cents.

Non-GAAP revenue for the quarter increased +25% to $115.5 million, which is lower than the Street estimate of $111 million.

For the fourth quarter, Progress Software has predicted non-GAAP earnings of 73 cents to 75 cents a share on revenue of $116 million to $119 million a share. Analysts had forecasted revenue of $123.2 million.

For the full year, Progress Software is expecting non-GAAP earnings to range between $2.63 and $2.65 a share, and revenue to come in between $425 million and $428 million.

Chief financial officer Paul Jalbert mentioned that the company expects its $225 million acquisition of Ipswich (completed in May) to bring in substantially all of the $15 million of cost synergies by the end of 2019 - which would be well ahead of schedule, according to Jalbert.

 

Related Ticker: PRGS

PRGS in +2.39% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on June 03, 2025

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where PRGS advanced for three days, in of 329 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 223 cases where PRGS Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for PRGS moved out of overbought territory on May 19, 2025. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 36 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 36 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on May 27, 2025. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PRGS as a result. In of 95 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PRGS turned negative on May 21, 2025. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PRGS declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.960) is normal, around the industry mean (31.658). P/E Ratio (33.611) is within average values for comparable stocks, (163.426). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.614) is also within normal values, averaging (2.724). Dividend Yield (0.013) settles around the average of (0.030) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.393) is also within normal values, averaging (61.473).

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 87, placing this stock better than average.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PRGS’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Microsoft Corp (NASDAQ:MSFT), Oracle Corp (NYSE:ORCL), Salesforce (NYSE:CRM), Adobe (NASDAQ:ADBE), Intuit (NASDAQ:INTU), Uber Technologies (NYSE:UBER), SERVICENOW (NYSE:NOW), Shopify Inc (NASDAQ:SHOP), Palo Alto Networks Inc (NASDAQ:PANW), CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ:CRWD).

Industry description

Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Packaged Software Industry is 12.7B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 291 to 3.15T. MSFT holds the highest valuation in this group at 3.15T. The lowest valued company is BLGI at 291.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 3%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 9%, and the average quarterly price growth was 27%. MDTC experienced the highest price growth at 140%, while LTCH experienced the biggest fall at -49%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Packaged Software Industry was 8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -4% and the average quarterly volume growth was -29%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 53
P/E Growth Rating: 68
Price Growth Rating: 56
SMR Rating: 76
Profit Risk Rating: 87
Seasonality Score: 12 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a developer of real-time data management software

Industry PackagedSoftware

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
Packaged Software
Address
15 Wayside Road
Phone
+1 781 280-4000
Employees
2284
Web
https://www.progress.com